What was issued
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0143 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. Saturday and
Saturday night.
...DISCUSSION...
A mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward across the
Desert Southwest on Saturday and into the southern Plains Saturday
night. Thunderstorms will be possible near the trough during the day
from the Four Corners southeastward into the southern Rockies. As
the trough moves into the southern Plains Saturday night,
thunderstorm development will be possible across parts of west and
central Texas. If the ECMWF solution pans out, which is much faster
and further south, increasing low-level moisture and instability
during the overnight period could be enough for a few strong storms
in the Texas Hill Country. If later models runs validate the ECMWF
solution, a Marginal may need to be considered for parts of
west-central and central Texas, mainly for Saturday night.
..Broyles.. 11/12/2026
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Affected area